Better than anyone · First term · № 23

Nobody knows more

Could read the polls better than anybody

“And I can read the polls maybe better than anybody, because it seems that I understood the polls a lot better than many of the pollsters understood the polls, assuming they were honest polls, which I think probably many of them weren't.”
Said
, Remarks to the Major Cities Chiefs Association winter meeting, Washington, D.C.
Subject
polls
Topic
Elections
Era
First term

What the record showed

Pew Research Center's post-election analysis (November 9, 2016) found that the final round of national polls showed Clinton leading by 1 to 7 points and that, across the board, polls underestimated Trump's support; forecasters had put Clinton's chances at 70% to 99%. Pew reported "a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect," and did not attribute the misses to dishonest polling.

Sources

  1. Remarks at the Major Cities Chiefs Association Winter Meeting The American Presidency Project, Feb 8, 2017
  2. Why 2016 election polls missed their mark Pew Research Center, Nov 9, 2016