Ledger · Second term · № 231

Tariff revenue would let us cut or eliminate the income tax

Broken
“[paraphrase] With tariff revenue, we may be able to substantially reduce or even eliminate the federal income tax for many Americans.”
Promised
, Post on X, repeated in 2025 remarks about an 'External Revenue Service'
Re-promised
8 times with a fresh deadline
Topic
Taxes & deficit
Era
Second term

What happened

Tariffs never came close to replacing income tax revenue: collections ran about $154.5 billion in the first ten months of fiscal 2026 against roughly $2.4 trillion in individual income taxes. The Supreme Court then struck down the IEEPA tariffs on Feb. 20, 2026, halting collection and triggering an estimated $175–$200 billion in refunds. No income tax was eliminated.

Sources

  1. Trump's Economic Promises Timeline Office of Rep. Lloyd Doggett, Feb 1, 2025
  2. Supreme Court Tariff Ruling: IEEPA Revenue and Potential Refunds Penn Wharton Budget Model, Feb 20, 2026
  3. Trump promised $5,000 checks if Republicans win the midterms. How would that work? PBS NewsHour, Sep 11, 2026